Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 56.558454 66.165697 76.613465 88.781654 102.524847 117.526179 135.098523
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 42.572294 55.590733 71.031683 90.530103 114.314297 142.194197 177.141312
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 31.145203 44.582792 61.698153 84.751294 114.601764 151.530041 200.194234
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 26.285968 40.544453 59.771969 87.011022 123.931551 171.492069 236.524636
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 21.727238 35.960082 56.200918 86.228714 128.633028 185.243917 265.180279
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 19.882178 34.887867 57.178475 91.499444 141.570069 210.311730 309.822933
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 15.921506 29.903761 51.741123 86.807597 139.855845 214.962392 326.674626
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 14.372555 28.520372 51.519136 89.692803 149.091240 235.198920 365.939679
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.626247 28.359741 53.148541 95.463768 162.880128 262.548302 416.470636
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 12.396238 27.140315 52.861336 98.067775 171.863178 283.170063 458.051656
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 11.145090 25.680106 51.969991 99.525902 179.022291 301.277264 496.566932
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.749393 23.714028 49.948733 98.842000 182.589040 313.947341 527.317048
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.535567 22.070517 48.598128 99.689727 189.556339 333.549849 571.676312
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.525899 20.701780 47.642749 101.240323 197.986513 356.228334 622.458490
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.866493 17.511769 42.673660 94.857104 192.188427 355.549550 636.334902
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.282641 16.725268 42.437346 97.335907 202.077179 381.009311 693.061661
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.510526 15.286658 40.608859 96.476320 205.791886 396.223147 733.676762
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.317774 15.338241 42.038123 102.263075 222.112172 433.620082 812.397410
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.439781 13.264371 38.352820 97.112101 217.415989 434.378053 829.788656
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.168002 12.895848 38.602201 100.280125 228.861054 463.940434 897.098502
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.084158 13.093406 40.248572 106.612203 246.864508 505.931886 987.233471
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.831888 12.686951 40.330630 109.467491 258.092783 536.152516 1058.020725
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.549754 12.105856 39.881903 111.065827 266.849437 562.202200 1122.406357